It's the last step for anyone who truly wants to master Texas Hold'Em. Once the basics have been assimilated, the player will have to learn to test his chances from the beginning of each game. Poker cannot be improvised. To win, the player must understand and consider all the factors that come into play. Although the cards are drawn randomly, the hand, a player, gets depends on several elements. These include the number of players and even the position of the player in relation to the dealer.
A good player, with his starting hand, must be able to get an idea of the combinations he can get and organize his game accordingly.
The game starts once the cards are dealt and well before they are turned over. It's very rare to receive a good hand at the beginning of the game. Therefore, the player shouldn't expect a miracle. Here are some probabilities to consider.
The odds of getting a pair of A, J, K, or Q are 55:1. The odds of getting an Ace and a King (AK) are 82:1. The odds of ending up with suited cards are 3.2:1. The odds of starting with an even pocket are 16:1. The odds of receiving two jacks are 10:1. It's advisable to define an approximate strategy.
These odds will change as the dealer deals the common cards. But the player should keep in mind that the odds don't represent a specific scenario. The mathematical projection is an exceptionally optimistic forecast that doesn't always agree with the reality. Therefore, when recalculating one's chances and establishing a strategy, one should pay attention to the atmosphere in the room and set limits.
It can't be excluded that the card(s) the player desperately needs is/are in his opponents' possession or, worse, has/have been discarded by his opponents. The odds of a flush with suited cards are 118:1, while the odds of a flush with any pair are 2:1.
There's no such thing as a perfect situation, as it is rare that all factors in the game are in line with mathematical predictions. However, nothing is lost by keeping them in mind.
The player has a little over 32% chance of forming at least one pair with several cards, but the chances of creating two pairs with the same different cards are about 12%. The likelihood of forming a flush when you have four good cards is 19%. The odds of making two pairs into a full house are 8.5%.
If the player ends up with a potentially winning combination, and if the conditions seem favorable, he can risk it.
It is impossible to calculate the odds without the outs. Any card with which the player forms a hand is considered an out. Each sign has 13 cards of the same suit. Therefore, to calculate the odds, the player will have to get an idea of the cards that have been dealt.
If a player has a hand of four clubs, nine remain in the game. Theoretically, if the player wishes to form a flush, he will have to draw one of the nine from the remaining 47 cards (52 cards - first two cards + three cards flop). The chances of drawing a flush will be 9/47, about 19%.